Maribor 3-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

Maribor
3-1 HT 1-0
Koper
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Maribor vs Koper Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maribor v Koper — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.34/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.95
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maribor vs Koper Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Koper
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Koper Koper 3-3 HT 2-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
24.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.04.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
12.02.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
08.10.2022 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
31.07.2022 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN

Maribor 3-1 Koper — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-1
AWAY Koper
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Maribor vs Koper
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Maribor beat Koper 3-1 in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17 Mar 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maribor had 58% of the ball to Koper's 42%, shots finished 17-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maribor and 1.33 for Koper.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Koper?

Maribor 3-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maribor 41%, draw 27%, Koper 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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