Deportes Iquique 0-4 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -10%
1.62/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.50
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.4 Crosses 20.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.58 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 361
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
02.06.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 4-3 HT 4-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
08.12.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.01.2020 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
29.09.2019 Union Espanola Union Espanola 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
13.04.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-2 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
0-4
AWAY Union Espanola
0.60 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
276 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola ran out comfortable winners over Deportes Iquique 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 54% of the ball to Union Espanola's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportes Iquique and 2.33 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola?

Deportes Iquique 0-4 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 43%, draw 25%, Union Espanola 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Iquique), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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