Belouizdad 1-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.85
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.51/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.06
+16% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
457 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
24.04.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYRK
16.03.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
10.11.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.07.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-2 HT 2-2 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
1-1
AWAY USM Alger
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad and USM Alger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Belouizdad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Belouizdad had 58% of the ball to USM Alger's 42%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belouizdad and 1.00 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Belouizdad 1-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 46%, draw 28%, USM Alger 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Belouizdad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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