Emelec 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Mar 2025

Emelec
1-0 HT 1-0
LDU Quito
📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Emelec vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 49%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.01/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
-41% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.8 Crosses 14.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Emelec vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
12.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
23.10.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
15.05.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
15.08.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
02.04.2022 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

Emelec 1-0 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
0.73 xG 1.29
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
179 Passes 370
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Emelec vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec squeezed past LDU Quito 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 36% of the ball to LDU Quito's 64%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.73 to 1.29 — on chances, LDU Quito could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Emelec and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Emelec vs LDU Quito?

Emelec 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emelec 33%, draw 25%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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