Emelec 0-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.50
+3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.9 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
23.10.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
15.05.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
15.08.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
02.04.2022 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.09.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 2-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-1
AWAY LDU Quito
0.88 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
243 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emelec vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito nicked a narrow win over Emelec 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 51% of the ball to LDU Quito's 49%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.88 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emelec and 1.50 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Emelec vs LDU Quito?

Emelec 0-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emelec 30%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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