Independiente Del Valle 2-0 El Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Nov 2024

Independiente Del Valle
2-0 HT 1-0
El Nacional
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-19.0pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.8pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY El Nacional EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.70/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.73
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +51%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
19.3 Crosses 12.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7

Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY El Nacional
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.75 xG 1.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 148
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 El Nacional El Nacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.12.2023 El Nacional El Nacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
17.06.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-4 HT 1-2 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
07.10.2022 El Nacional El Nacional 0-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKVK
06.12.2020 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 2-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
16.08.2020 El Nacional El Nacional 2-4 HT 1-3 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 2-0 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2-0
AWAY El Nacional
2.09 xG 0.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
465 Passes 259
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle saw off El Nacional 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 61% of the ball to El Nacional's 39%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.09 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for El Nacional.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional?

Independiente Del Valle 2-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs El Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 61%, draw 23%, El Nacional 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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