Mushuc Runa 2-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.41/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.13
+44% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.1 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Macara
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.24 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 232
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.09.2022 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
21.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
06.11.2020 Macara Macara 0-3 HT 0-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
2-1
AWAY Macara
1.16 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
194 Passes 159
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa squeezed past Macara 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mushuc Runa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 53% of the ball to Macara's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Mushuc Runa 2-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 40%, draw 30%, Macara 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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