Watford U21 1-3 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.3pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.73/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.74
+44% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.12.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 1-3 HT 0-0 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
02.04.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 0-5 HT 0-2 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Watford U21 vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 saw off Watford U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Watford U21 at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Watford U21 and 3.00 for Swansea City U21.

What was the final score of Watford U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Watford U21 1-3 Swansea City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Watford U21 57%, draw 22%, Swansea City U21 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Watford U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Watford U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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