Union Magdalena 1-1 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Mar 2025

Union Magdalena
1-1 HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Union Magdalena vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.5pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 20%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.17
-48% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
20.2 Crosses 13.2
4.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Union Magdalena vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.78 xG 0.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
292 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
11.05.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
30.10.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLB

Union Magdalena 1-1 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
1-1
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.88 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
369 Passes 140
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena and Boyaca Chico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Magdalena at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 68% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 32%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Union Magdalena and 0.33 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Boyaca Chico?

Union Magdalena 1-1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 53%, draw 26%, Boyaca Chico 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Magdalena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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