Independiente Medellin 0-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.49/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.4 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
06.02.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
23.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
13.04.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
22.07.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
31.01.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
0-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.54 xG 0.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Cali played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Independiente Medellin at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 40%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?

Independiente Medellin 0-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 57%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cali 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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