Deportivo Cali 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒03:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
0.91/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.5 Crosses 14.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
298 Passes 261
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
23.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
13.04.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
22.07.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
31.01.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
03.09.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
2-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
2.20 xG 0.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
213 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali saw off Independiente Medellin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Deportivo Cali made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 43% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 57%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.20 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.83 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

Deportivo Cali 2-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 35%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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