Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 1-3
Junior
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
Junior 2-2 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Junior and Alianza Petrolera couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Junior at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Junior had 67% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 33%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.43 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Junior and 0.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Junior vs Alianza Petrolera?
Junior 2-2 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Junior 55%, draw 25%, Alianza Petrolera 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.