Alianza Petrolera vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Junior — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 1-3
Junior
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Junior — Actual Match Statistics
Junior squeezed past Alianza Petrolera 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 46% of the ball to Junior's 54%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.37 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.17 for Junior.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Junior?
Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Junior?
Before kick-off our model rated an Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 33%, draw 25%, Junior 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.