Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Feb 2024

Fortaleza CEIF
1-1 HT 1-1
Envigado
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza CEIF v Envigado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
– Crosses 12.7
– Yellow Cards 3.1

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
AWAY Envigado
0.66 xG 0.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
229 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Envigado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza CEIF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 44% of the ball to Envigado's 56%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.66 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 48%, draw 28%, Envigado 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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