Sporting San Jose 1-3 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.14
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.10.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-3 HT 0-2 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
26.08.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.05.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
10.03.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
26.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-3
AWAY CS Herediano
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano got the better of Sporting San Jose 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 55% of the ball to CS Herediano's 45%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.17 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano?

Sporting San Jose 1-3 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 31%, draw 28%, CS Herediano 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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17 Mar 2025
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