Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Saprissa v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo Saprissa
KOSTA
Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Saprissa and Municipal Liberia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Saprissa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 61% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 39%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.33 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 56%, draw 21%, Municipal Liberia 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.