Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.11/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.92
+20% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2-2
AWAY Municipal Liberia
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and Municipal Liberia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 47% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 53%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 51%, draw 25%, Municipal Liberia 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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