Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.10
+22% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2-2
AWAY Municipal Liberia
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and Municipal Liberia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Saprissa at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 65% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 35%, shots finished 25-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 61%, draw 20%, Municipal Liberia 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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