Sporting San Jose 2-2 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.95/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.30
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
22.10.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
2-2
AWAY Guanacasteca
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose and Guanacasteca shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting San Jose at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 52% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.17 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Sporting San Jose 2-2 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 46%, draw 26%, Guanacasteca 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ BTTS No
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