Sporting San Jose 3-2 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
+26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
22.10.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.08.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 4-1 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
3-2
AWAY Guanacasteca
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose nicked a narrow win over Guanacasteca 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 43% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 57%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Sporting San Jose 3-2 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 46%, draw 30%, Guanacasteca 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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