Alajuelense 1-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.98/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.65
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY San Carlos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.08.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.03.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.01.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
25.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-1
AWAY San Carlos
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and San Carlos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 58% of the ball to San Carlos's 42%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs San Carlos?

Alajuelense 1-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 46%, draw 28%, San Carlos 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
1 Apr 2024
00:00 Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia Analysis →
01:00 Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Herediano Analysis →
02:30 Sporting San Jose vs Guanacasteca Analysis →