San Carlos 2-3 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.02
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.08.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.03.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.01.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
25.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.05.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Carlos
2-3
AWAY Alajuelense
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over San Carlos 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Alajuelense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Carlos had 52% of the ball to Alajuelense's 48%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Carlos and 1.83 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Alajuelense?

San Carlos 2-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 35%, draw 32%, Alajuelense 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
26 Jan 2024
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