Municipal Liberia 2-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.14
-81% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
20.03.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
05.02.2022 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSB
05.12.2021 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
27.11.2021 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Puntarenas FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 49% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puntarenas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.67 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Municipal Liberia 2-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 49%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
26 Jan 2024
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