Puntarenas FC 1-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

Puntarenas FC
1-2 HT 0-1
Municipal Liberia
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Costa Rica - Premier League – 2023/2024

Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.74
Over 2.5
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+11.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puntarenas FC v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.70
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
12.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
20.03.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
05.02.2022 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSB
05.12.2021 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Puntarenas FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Puntarenas FC and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia?

Puntarenas FC 1-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 36%, draw 34%, Municipal Liberia 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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