CS Cartagines 0-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.00/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.08
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Cartagines
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
29.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
12.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
06.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
29.09.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-3 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
14.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Cartagines
0-1
AWAY Alajuelense
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Cartagines vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past CS Cartagines 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CS Cartagines had 49% of the ball to Alajuelense's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CS Cartagines and 1.50 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Cartagines vs Alajuelense?

CS Cartagines 0-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Cartagines vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CS Cartagines 27%, draw 31%, Alajuelense 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
4 Aug 2024
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