Municipal Liberia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 54%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
0.97/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.12
-19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
17.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 28%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ BTTS No
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