Municipal Liberia 2-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.18/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.23
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.08.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
17.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
11.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-3
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Saprissa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 48%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 2-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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