Santos de Guapiles 1-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.84/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.41
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 4-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
13.10.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
05.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
03.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles edged past Guanacasteca 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santos de Guapiles as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 0.83 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca?

Santos de Guapiles 1-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 49%, draw 29%, Guanacasteca 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos de Guapiles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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2 Feb 2025
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