Santos de Guapiles 4-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
45%
-13.6pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.58/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.94
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
05.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
03.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
08.05.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Santos de Guapiles made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 0.83 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca?

Santos de Guapiles 4-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 32%, draw 35%, Guanacasteca 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
21 Oct 2024
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