Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
2.16/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.02
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
08.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.01.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
25.09.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.07.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
30.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1-0
AWAY Sporting San Jose
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa edged past Sporting San Jose 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 52% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 48%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose?

Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 48%, draw 29%, Sporting San Jose 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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