Aswan FC 1-0 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.9pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aswan FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.32/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.09
-3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aswan FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Aswan FC Aswan FC 1-1 Sporting Alexandria MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aswan FC
1-0
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aswan FC vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aswan FC edged past Sporting Alexandria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aswan FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Aswan FC had 55% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 45%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Aswan FC vs Sporting Alexandria?

Aswan FC 1-0 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aswan FC vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aswan FC 52%, draw 27%, Sporting Alexandria 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aswan FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aswan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR2 More Egypt - 2nd Division
17 Mar 2025
00:00 Abu Qair Semad vs Proxy Analysis →
22:30 Telecom Egypt vs Derot Analysis →
22:30 Tersana Giza vs Wadi Degla Analysis →
22:30 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon Analysis →