Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
39%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.3pp
39%
Draw
31%
+7.4pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.96
+15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.40 xG 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
314 Passes 205
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR2
19.04.2024 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
20.09.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 39% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 53% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 47%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 0.00 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 28%, draw 39%, Al Mokawloon 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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