Deportivo Recoleta 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Recoleta at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 57% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 43%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Deportivo Recoleta 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 47%, draw 24%, Sportivo Luqueno 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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