Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.61
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
28.09.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PARK
16.07.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off Sportivo Ameliano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 55% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 45%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.67 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 46%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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