Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +15%
1.59/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chayka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
0-0
AWAY Chayka
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and Chayka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 56% of the ball to Chayka's 44%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Chayka?

Arsenal Tula 0-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 50%, draw 30%, Chayka 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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