Chayka 2-2 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-9.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.63
+59% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +71%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
2-2
AWAY Arsenal Tula
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and Arsenal Tula couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chayka had 46% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 54%, shots finished 9-21.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Arsenal Tula?

Chayka 2-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chayka 39%, draw 32%, Arsenal Tula 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chayka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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