Tyumen 0-3 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -1%
0.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.97
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.03.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
09.10.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-3
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow swept aside Tyumen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tyumen had 51% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 49%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tyumen and 0.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Torpedo Moscow?

Tyumen 0-3 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 28%, draw 28%, Torpedo Moscow 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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