Spokane Velocity 2-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.57/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.80
-54% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.9 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-2D-0L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
432 Passes 352
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
24.08.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-2
AWAY One Knoxville
0.56 xG 1.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity and One Knoxville shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 47% of the ball to One Knoxville's 53%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.56 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spokane Velocity and 0.50 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

Spokane Velocity 2-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 40%, draw 29%, One Knoxville 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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