Atletico Madrid U19 0-4 Club Brugge U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Mar 2026

Atletico Madrid U19
0-4 HT 0-3
Club Brugge U19
📅17/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Atletico Madrid U19 vs Club Brugge U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
15%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 25% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
4%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
4.92
X/2
12%
7.56
X/X
5%
5.81
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
20%
4.96
2/X
5%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.92 — our 20% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
15%
Draw
24%
-8.7pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid U19 v Club Brugge U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.86/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.22
-54% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
– Crosses 11.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Atletico Madrid U19 vs Club Brugge U19 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Club Brugge U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2022 Atletico Madrid U19 Atletico Madrid U19 1-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge U19 Club Brugge U19 UEGL
04.10.2022 Club Brugge U19 Club Brugge U19 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid U19 Atletico Madrid U19 UEGL

Atletico Madrid U19 0-4 Club Brugge U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid U19
0-4
AWAY Club Brugge U19
1.32 xG 2.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
381 Passes 275
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid U19 vs Club Brugge U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge U19 cruised past Atletico Madrid U19 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid U19 had 56% of the ball to Club Brugge U19's 44%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.32 to 2.49.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Madrid U19 and 1.50 for Club Brugge U19.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Atletico Madrid U19 0-4 Club Brugge U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid U19 49%, draw 15%, Club Brugge U19 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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