Villarreal U19 0-1 Paris SG U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.95
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
5%
6.63
X/2
10%
5.06
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
25%
2.98
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal U19 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.20/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/2.42
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal U19
0-1
AWAY Paris SG U19
2.47 xG 0.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
294 Passes 490
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villarreal U19 vs Paris SG U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris SG U19 edged past Villarreal U19 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paris SG U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villarreal U19 had 41% of the ball to Paris SG U19's 59%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.47 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Villarreal U19.

What was the final score of Villarreal U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Villarreal U19 0-1 Paris SG U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris SG U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villarreal U19 29%, draw 26%, Paris SG U19 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris SG U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris SG U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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