Gateshead 0-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Apr 2024

Gateshead
0-1 HT 0-0
Aldershot Town
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Gateshead vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.7
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.99
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
7%
6.65
X/X
8%
5.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
15%
3.88
2/X
8%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.5pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.31/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.34
-10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Gateshead vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
25.03.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
03.12.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
02.03.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
27.10.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
17.04.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town squeezed past Gateshead 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gateshead and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Aldershot Town?

Gateshead 0-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 49%, draw 23%, Aldershot Town 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5
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