Bavois 5-2 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.94/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.21
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
421 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Luzern II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-3 HT 2-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
5-2
AWAY Luzern II
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 15
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois cruised past Luzern II 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bavois as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bavois had 43% of the ball to Luzern II's 57%, shots finished 22-15.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Luzern II?

Bavois 5-2 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bavois 43%, draw 21%, Luzern II 36%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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