Etoile Carouge 2-2 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
2.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.39
+5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Basel II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Basel II Basel II 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
07.05.2023 Basel II Basel II 1-1 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
29.10.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 4-1 HT 3-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
20.04.2022 Basel II Basel II 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
09.10.2021 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-2
AWAY Basel II
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Basel II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Etoile Carouge at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 58% of the ball to Basel II's 42%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.20 for Basel II.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Basel II?

Etoile Carouge 2-2 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 60%, draw 18%, Basel II 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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