Universitario de Vinto 3-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +10%
1.21/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.09
-35% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
17.5 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.13 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
233 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CON CSA
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
17.04.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.29 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto saw off Nacional Potosi 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 47% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 53%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.29 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.25 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Universitario de Vinto 3-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 46%, draw 27%, Nacional Potosi 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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