Envigado 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Apr 2024

Envigado
0-2 HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Envigado vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.07/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.02
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
11.8 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Envigado vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
13.04.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.10.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.06.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
15.05.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
07.09.2021 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Envigado 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.02 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
353 Passes 434
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima got the better of Envigado 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 45% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 55%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportes Tolima?

Envigado 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Envigado 33%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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