Steinbach 2-3 FC Giessen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.65/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.64
-8% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Giessen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 FC Giessen FC Giessen 0-2 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
11.03.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 1-3 HT 1-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
24.04.2021 Steinbach Steinbach 4-0 HT 4-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
09.01.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 2-1 HT 2-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.02.2020 Steinbach Steinbach 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs FC Giessen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Giessen squeezed past Steinbach 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Steinbach at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Steinbach had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Steinbach and 0.83 for FC Giessen.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs FC Giessen?

Steinbach 2-3 FC Giessen in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs FC Giessen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 47%, draw 26%, FC Giessen 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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