Werder Bremen II 3-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.76
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli II
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-5 HT 1-3 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
30.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-1 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
10.05.2014 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II got the better of St. Pauli II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Werder Bremen II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Werder Bremen II and 0.80 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs St. Pauli II?

Werder Bremen II 3-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 40%, draw 26%, St. Pauli II 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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