Barracas Central 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+11.0pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.42/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/3.22
-65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.07.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
20.03.2021 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
01.03.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBM
05.03.2014 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
0-2
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano saw off Barracas Central 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barracas Central at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 0-1.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barracas Central had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Barracas Central and 0.50 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Barracas Central 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barracas Central win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 47%, draw 28%, Defensores De Belgrano 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barracas Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barracas Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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