17/04/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Belgrano Cordoba vs Real Pilar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
Home Win
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
29%
Draw
24%
23%
Away Win
15%
61%
Under 2.5
57%
39%
Over 2.5
43%
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
60%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Belgrano Cordoba v Real Pilar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Belgrano Cordoba
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Real Pilar
EU Bookmakers 18%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+78% /
+78%
1.54/0.25
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.87/0.60
-32%
/
+72%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
301 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
228 · 70%
20.2
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0
27.0
Crosses
12.0
1.6
Yellow Cards
4.0
Belgrano Cordoba vs Real Pilar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Belgrano Cordoba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Real Pilar
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
0.60
xG
0.87
65%
Ball Possession
35%
13
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
2
371
Passes
155
74%
Pass Accuracy
55%
25
Box Touches
17
39
Crosses
12
4
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
27.07.2019
Belgrano Cordoba
0-1
HT 0-1
Real Pilar
ARJK
0-1
HT 0-1
Real Pilar
ARJK
Belgrano Cordoba 3-1 Real Pilar — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Belgrano Cordoba
3-1
AWAY
Real Pilar
3
Total Shots
0
3
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0
Passes
0
POST-MATCH
Belgrano Cordoba vs Real Pilar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Belgrano Cordoba saw off Real Pilar 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Belgrano Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 3-0.
What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Real Pilar?
Belgrano Cordoba 3-1 Real Pilar in the Argentina - Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Real Pilar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 48%, draw 29%, Real Pilar 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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ARJK
More Argentina - Cup
17 Apr 2025