Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.54
Over
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
1.03/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.67
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
15.09.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
18.05.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.04.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-2 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 HT 3-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
29.08.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
2-1
AWAY Dila Gori
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi nicked a narrow win over Dila Gori 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Tbilisi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 34% of the ball to Dila Gori's 66%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 34%, draw 29%, Dila Gori 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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